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wladoD

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Posts posted by wladoD

  1. 6 hours ago, Barand said:

    @ginerjm That was my argument too, but I relented when I ran the simulation over 500 runs

    If I took out the - $bet from a winning payout (so you weren't losing your stake money) but keeping the odds = 2 and the chance of win = rand(0, 1) then the accumulated bankroll would have made Elon Musk green with envy. EG

    image.png.5618914d4ce535029338936f45f55c2e.png

    Thinking about it, the odds of winning are even but you are being paid out at 2-1. So not surprising the gains are exponential.

    To get it back on an even keel I then changed the chance of a win to $win = rand(0, $odds)==1 so the chance matched the odds.

    Going back to the original method I decided was a matter of interpretation. The OP's odds of "2", I guess, is actually 1 in 2 (evens) so the OP's formaula works if the stake is lost but double is paid back.

    Morning,

    Quote

    To get it back on an even keel I then changed the chance of a win to $win = rand(0, $odds)==1 so the chance matched the odds.

    What you saying is (0,2), do i understand it correctly that now chance of 1 is only 33,3 % ?
    2 odds in decimal should give you 50 % of winning  (2 decimal odds = 1/1 in fractional odds)

    I was wondering how could i make a function like rand() but give conditions that number has to appear at least 60 % or any given number?

    Thank you

     

  2. 7 hours ago, ginerjm said:

    You never get back your money that you wagered.  So what you are using as an example is NOT correct still.  If the odds are 2 to 1 that means you win twice as much as  you bet.  So the result is 100  But in actually all you did was get your money back and a 50 profit which is a 1 to 1 bet, not 2 to 1.

    So if the odds are even (1 to 1), what do you get back?  Just the 50 that you bet?

    Are you sure about this?  What county is there, cause I never want to gamble there!

    Morning,

    i get your point, we are from different part of the world, hence you guys are using different betting odds.

    Quote

    Fractional Odds
    Fractional odds are displayed as 10/1 or 7/2.  There are several ways to try and understand them but the easiest way is “how much you will win”/”how much you stake”. So for example if you stake £1 at 10/1 you will win £10 (remember that’s your profit, you will receive your pound back too!). If you stake £2 at 7/2 then you will win £7 and get your £2 stake back.

    I was always talking about decimal odds;
     

    Quote

    Decimal Odds
    Now fractional odds are confusing and just by writing the above section I am wondering why on earth anyone still uses fractional odds! In the opinion of this bookmaker, decimal odds are far easier to understand. If I asked you quickly to say which is the bigger price, 7/4 or 9/5? You’d have to think about it, right? But if I asked which is the bigger number 2.75 or 2.80?  It’s not so hard. 

    With decimal odds your stake is automatically included in your returns and it makes for a far easier calculation
    So the equation for calculating returns from decimal odds (which are written as 1.80 or 4.50) the equation is so much simpler:

    Thank you

  3. Hello there,

    Not sure why it is wrong as i have bet before; maybe its different in each country but i doubt it.

    Bank = 500 EURO
    Bet 50 x 2 (odss) = 100 EURO
    Bank After bet = 450 EURO and if win = 550 EURO.

    This is how it works in my country. You never get back your bet + winnings as you mention above.

    Thank you

     

     

  4. When you place the bet, you bankroll became 450 EURO and will stay the same if you loose; however if you win you bankroll is now 450 + 100 = 550 EUR.

    If you loose profit is 0, if you win your profit is 50 EUR - so basically you could see profit next to each bet.

    Thank you

  5. 3 hours ago, Barand said:

    Something like this?

    Amazing, looks pretty straight forward, how could i see PROFIT for each winning unit ? Plus one more question how to calculate how many wins in 500 in % please ?

    Big Thanks

    3 hours ago, Barand said:
    <?php
    const BETS = 500;
    
    $bankroll = 500;
    $pcent    = 0.1;
    $odds     = 2;
    
    
    function betting(&$bankroll, $betPerc, $odds)
    {
        for ($i=1; $i <= BETS; $i++) {
            if ($bankroll < 0.5) break;
            $win = rand(0,1);
            $bet = $bankroll * $betPerc;
            $bankroll +=  ($win ? $bet * $odds - $bet : - $bet);
            printf("| %3d | %20.2f | %s  | %20s |<br>", $i, $bet, $win ? '&check;' : '&times;', number_format($bankroll,2));
        }
    }
    
    
    echo '<pre>';
    printf("| %54.2f |<br>", $bankroll);
    betting($bankroll, $pcent, $odds); 
    
    ?>

     

     

  6. Yes, sure as  i mentioned above.

    500 Bankroll
    1. Bet is 50 EURO / 2.00 ODDS (possible winning 100 EURO)

    When you place the bet, you bankroll became 450 EURO and will stay the same if you loose; however if you win you bankroll is now 450 + 100 = 550 EUR.

  7. I thought the same at begging but consider this;

    500 Bankroll
    1. Bet is 50 EURO / 2.00 ODDS (possible winning 100 EURO)

    When you place the bet, you bankroll became 450 EURO and will stay the same if you loose; however if you win you bankroll is now 450 + 100 = 550 EUR.

    Thank you

     

     

     

  8. 3 minutes ago, Barand said:

    Clarification required.

    • Your bet is 10%. Does that mean that, if you start with 500.00, you will always bet 50.00, or will your next bet be 10% of your current bankroll?
    • You say 500 times, but what if you are unlucky and run out of cash?

    hey, always 10% of bankroll, so if you win first bet your bankroll will be 550 hence next bet will be 55 EUR.
    yes, very true, it would be great to indicate in which occurrence it happens. lets say 349 bet for example.

    Big Thanks

  9. Hi Guys,

    I am new here, hope you are all well. I am very new in php. I would like to ask a question.

     

    I am trying to calculate my bets.

    Basically you start with 500 EUR, you bet 10 % with avg odds 2. It all fine. How can i run this function 500 times for example with update bankroll?
    Please help me, Thank you.

    <?php
    function betting($bankroll, $betPerc, $odds)
    {
      
    $number = rand(0,1);
    $bet = $bankroll * $betPerc;


    if($number == 1){
       
      return  $bankroll =  $bet * $odds - $bet + $bankroll;
       
    }else

      return  $bankroll - $bet;
    }


    echo betting(500, 0.1, 2);

    ?>

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