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Statistical Number Estimation from Sample Data Set


refined

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I never was a math major, so bare with me :D

 

Example scenario:

 

Date - Number

7/15/2010 - 100

7/16/2010 - 70

7/17/2010 - 60

7/18/2010 - 55

7/19/2010 - 52

7/20/2010 - ??

7/21/2010 - ??

etc

 

I am trying to estimate what the Number value could be for an input date in the future. Can somebody shed some light?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_analysis

 

How to actually implement the math in PHP though, I have no idea.  (I can do it on a graphing calculator, but that's about it.)

 

I would imagine the easiest approach would be to find the equation or algorithm for each type of regression (linear, x^n, exponential, so on), then try all of them and check accuracy.

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